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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
26%
3.88
20%
4.95
54%
1.85
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
8.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.0%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.51
Utrecht xG
Total xG
3.75
2.23
AZ Alkmaar xG
UtrechtDrawAZ Alkmaar
3.88
26%
Home win
4.95
20%
Draw
1.85
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
70%
BTTS Yes
1.44
30%
BTTS No
3.29
Clean Sheet
11%
9.34
22%
4.53
Win to Nil
3%
36.23
12%
8.39
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 3.6 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.511
λ Away (xG)
2.234
Total xG
3.745
League avg home goals
1.716
League avg away goals
1.340
Utrecht attack strength
1.059
Utrecht defence strength
1.463
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.139
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.832
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 52