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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Utrecht Win
48%
2.07
22%
4.55
30%
3.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
1 – 2
7.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.94
Utrecht xG
Total xG
3.42
1.48
Ajax xG
UtrechtDrawAjax
2.07
48%
Home win
4.55
22%
Draw
3.37
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.96
Clean Sheet
23%
4.41
14%
6.94
Win to Nil
11%
9.12
4%
23.42
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 9.4 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 9.1 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.938
λ Away (xG)
1.484
Total xG
3.422
League avg home goals
1.747
League avg away goals
1.482
Utrecht attack strength
1.051
Utrecht defence strength
0.810
Ajax attack strength
1.235
Ajax defence strength
1.056
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45