🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
19%
5.17
27%
3.75
54%
1.85
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
0 – 2
11.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.82
Utrecht xG
Total xG
2.37
1.55
Ajax xG
UtrechtDrawAjax
5.17
19%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
1.85
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.24
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
21%
4.71
44%
2.28
Win to Nil
4%
24.36
24%
4.21
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 14.5 | 11.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 11.9 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.822
λ Away (xG)
1.550
Total xG
2.372
League avg home goals
1.607
League avg away goals
1.302
Utrecht attack strength
0.883
Utrecht defence strength
1.033
Ajax attack strength
1.153
Ajax defence strength
0.579
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 63