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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Twente Win
71%
1.40
17%
5.94
12%
8.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
9.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
3 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.52
Twente xG
Total xG
3.48
0.96
NEC Nijmegen xG
TwenteDrawNEC Nijmegen
1.40
71%
Home win
5.94
17%
Draw
8.35
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.76
43%
BTTS No
2.32
Clean Sheet
38%
2.60
8%
12.49
Win to Nil
27%
3.65
1%
104.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 9.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.525
λ Away (xG)
0.956
Total xG
3.481
League avg home goals
1.681
League avg away goals
1.349
Twente attack strength
1.345
Twente defence strength
0.828
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
0.856
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.117
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56