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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

11:15

Venue

De Grolsch Veste

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Twente Win

66%

Twente

1.51

18%

Draw

5.50

16%

Heracles

6.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Twente xG

Total xG

3.47

1.09

Heracles xG

66%
18%
16%
TwenteDrawHeracles

1.51

66%

Home win

5.50

18%

Draw

6.33

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

34%

Twente

2.97

9%

Heracles

10.84

Win to Nil

22%

Twente

4.50

1%

Heracles

68.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 7.4 8.1 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 9.6 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 7.0 7.6 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.2 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.383
λ Away (xG) 1.089
Total xG 3.472
League avg home goals 1.691
League avg away goals 1.446
Twente attack strength 1.062
Twente defence strength 1.099
Heracles attack strength 0.685
Heracles defence strength 1.326
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41