Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

De Grolsch Veste

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Twente Win

41%

Twente

2.42

24%

Draw

4.21

35%

Fortuna Sittard

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Twente xG

Total xG

3.11

1.48

Fortuna Sittard xG

41%
24%
35%
TwenteDrawFortuna Sittard

2.42

41%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

23%

Twente

4.38

20%

Fortuna Sittard

5.09

Win to Nil

9%

Twente

10.60

7%

Fortuna Sittard

14.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.6 4.9 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 7.3 10.8 8.0 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.8 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.2 4.8 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.628
λ Away (xG) 1.478
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.645
League avg away goals 1.445
Twente attack strength 0.946
Twente defence strength 1.079
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.948
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.046
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40