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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

17:45

Venue

De Grolsch Veste

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Twente Win

55%

Twente

1.83

21%

Draw

4.83

25%

Fortuna Sittard

4.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 0

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Twente xG

Total xG

3.53

1.39

Fortuna Sittard xG

55%
21%
25%
TwenteDrawFortuna Sittard

1.83

55%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

4.06

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.97

Clean Sheet

25%

Twente

4.02

12%

Fortuna Sittard

8.51

Win to Nil

14%

Twente

7.36

3%

Fortuna Sittard

34.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 4.1 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1
1 6.3 8.7 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 9.3 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.8 6.7 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 2.6 3.6 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.141
λ Away (xG) 1.392
Total xG 3.533
League avg home goals 1.594
League avg away goals 1.339
Twente attack strength 1.289
Twente defence strength 1.088
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.955
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61