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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

15:45

Venue

BUKO Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Sittard Win

30%

Telstar

3.28

24%

Draw

4.14

45%

Fortuna Sittard

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Telstar xG

Total xG

2.95

1.64

Fortuna Sittard xG

30%
24%
45%
TelstarDrawFortuna Sittard

3.28

30%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

19%

Telstar

5.18

27%

Fortuna Sittard

3.70

Win to Nil

6%

Telstar

16.98

12%

Fortuna Sittard

8.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.6 7.1 3.9 1.6 0.5
1 6.8 11.2 9.2 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.5 7.3 6.0 3.3 1.4 0.4
3 1.9 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 1.644
Total xG 2.951
League avg home goals 1.667
League avg away goals 1.361
Telstar attack strength 0.739
Telstar defence strength 1.290
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.936
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 37