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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

11:15

Venue

BUKO Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Win

37%

Telstar

2.73

22%

Draw

4.62

42%

AZ Alkmaar

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Telstar xG

Total xG

3.67

1.90

AZ Alkmaar xG

37%
22%
42%
TelstarDrawAZ Alkmaar

2.73

37%

Home win

4.62

22%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.42

29%

BTTS No

3.40

Clean Sheet

15%

Telstar

6.68

17%

AZ Alkmaar

5.87

Win to Nil

5%

Telstar

18.26

7%

AZ Alkmaar

14.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 4.8 4.6 2.9 1.4 0.5
1 4.5 8.6 8.1 5.2 2.4 0.9
2 4.0 7.6 7.2 4.6 2.2 0.8
3 2.4 4.5 4.2 2.7 1.3 0.5
4 1.0 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.770
λ Away (xG) 1.899
Total xG 3.669
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.452
Telstar attack strength 0.930
Telstar defence strength 1.309
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 0.999
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.159
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 53