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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

15:45

Venue

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

39%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.56

29%

Draw

3.50

32%

Willem II

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.40

1.13

Willem II xG

39%
29%
32%
Sparta RotterdamDrawWillem II

2.56

39%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

32%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.10

28%

Willem II

3.56

Win to Nil

13%

Sparta Rotterdam

7.95

9%

Willem II

11.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.2 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.5 13.0 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 8.3 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.270
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.402
League avg home goals 1.659
League avg away goals 1.289
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.709
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 1.080
Willem II attack strength 0.813
Willem II defence strength 1.080
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 23