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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

37%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.70

24%

Draw

4.20

39%

Waalwijk

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

3.10

1.58

Waalwijk xG

37%
24%
39%
Sparta RotterdamDrawWaalwijk

2.70

37%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

21%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.84

22%

Waalwijk

4.60

Win to Nil

8%

Sparta Rotterdam

13.09

9%

Waalwijk

11.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 7.1 5.6 2.9 1.2 0.4
1 6.9 10.8 8.5 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.2 6.5 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 2.7 4.2 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.526
λ Away (xG) 1.577
Total xG 3.103
League avg home goals 1.687
League avg away goals 1.317
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.711
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 1.219
Waalwijk attack strength 0.982
Waalwijk defence strength 1.271
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52