Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

38%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.64

26%

Draw

3.86

36%

Twente

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.68

1.32

Twente xG

38%
26%
36%
Sparta RotterdamDrawTwente

2.64

38%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

27%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.75

26%

Twente

3.89

Win to Nil

10%

Sparta Rotterdam

9.90

9%

Twente

10.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.1 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.3 12.3 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.4 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.9 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.358
λ Away (xG) 1.322
Total xG 2.680
League avg home goals 1.664
League avg away goals 1.372
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.897
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 1.157
Twente attack strength 0.833
Twente defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39