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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

13:30

Venue

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

47%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.14

26%

Draw

3.80

27%

Twente

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

2.93

1.24

Twente xG

47%
26%
27%
Sparta RotterdamDrawTwente

2.14

47%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

29%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.46

18%

Twente

5.41

Win to Nil

13%

Sparta Rotterdam

7.41

5%

Twente

20.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.6 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.0 11.2 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.5 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 5.3 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.689
λ Away (xG) 1.242
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.305
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.979
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.914
Twente attack strength 1.041
Twente defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64