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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

13:30

Venue

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

23%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.27

23%

Draw

4.29

53%

PSV Eindhoven

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

0 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

3.42

2.08

PSV Eindhoven xG

23%
23%
53%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven

4.27

23%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.92

Clean Sheet

13%

Sparta Rotterdam

7.98

26%

PSV Eindhoven

3.83

Win to Nil

3%

Sparta Rotterdam

34.10

14%

PSV Eindhoven

7.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.8 7.1 4.9 2.5 1.1
1 4.4 9.1 9.5 6.6 3.4 1.4
2 2.9 6.1 6.4 4.4 2.3 0.9
3 1.3 2.7 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.4
4 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.342
λ Away (xG) 2.077
Total xG 3.419
League avg home goals 1.601
League avg away goals 1.326
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.898
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.968
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.619
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67