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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

15:30

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

43%

PSV Eindhoven

2.34

26%

Draw

3.90

32%

Utrecht

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.22

1.48

Utrecht xG

43%
26%
32%
PSV EindhovenDrawUtrecht

2.34

43%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

23%

PSV Eindhoven

4.38

18%

Utrecht

5.69

Win to Nil

10%

PSV Eindhoven

10.24

6%

Utrecht

18.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.9 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.0 10.3 7.6 3.7 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 9.0 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.5 5.2 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 1.477
Total xG 3.216
League avg home goals 1.722
League avg away goals 1.323
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.373
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 1.083
Utrecht attack strength 1.031
Utrecht defence strength 0.736
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62