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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

17:45

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

83%

PSV Eindhoven

1.20

11%

Draw

9.48

6%

NAC Breda

16.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.26

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

4.09

0.83

NAC Breda xG

83%
11%
PSV EindhovenDrawNAC Breda

1.20

83%

Home win

9.48

11%

Draw

16.64

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

43%

PSV Eindhoven

2.30

4%

NAC Breda

25.95

Win to Nil

36%

PSV Eindhoven

2.76

0%

NAC Breda

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 5.4 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 7.4 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 9.6 8.0 3.4 0.9 0.2
4 7.8 6.5 2.7 0.8 0.2
5 5.1 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.256
λ Away (xG) 0.835
Total xG 4.091
League avg home goals 1.678
League avg away goals 1.302
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.764
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.767
NAC Breda attack strength 0.835
NAC Breda defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19