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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 14 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

75%

PSV Eindhoven

1.33

16%

Draw

6.41

9%

Heracles

10.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

3 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.76

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.69

0.92

Heracles xG

75%
16%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeracles

1.33

75%

Home win

6.41

16%

Draw

10.82

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

40%

PSV Eindhoven

2.52

6%

Heracles

15.86

Win to Nil

30%

PSV Eindhoven

3.35

1%

Heracles

171.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 6.9 6.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 9.6 8.8 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.8 8.1 3.8 1.2 0.3
4 6.1 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
5 3.4 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.764
λ Away (xG) 0.923
Total xG 3.687
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.342
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.513
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.905
Heracles attack strength 0.760
Heracles defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66