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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

75%

PSV Eindhoven

1.33

15%

Draw

6.77

10%

AZ Alkmaar

9.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

3 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.69

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.60

0.91

AZ Alkmaar xG

75%
15%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar

1.33

75%

Home win

6.77

15%

Draw

9.83

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

40%

PSV Eindhoven

2.48

7%

AZ Alkmaar

14.79

Win to Nil

30%

PSV Eindhoven

3.31

1%

AZ Alkmaar

145.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.3 6.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 9.9 9.0 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 8.9 8.1 3.7 1.1 0.3
4 6.0 5.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
5 3.2 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.694
λ Away (xG) 0.909
Total xG 3.603
League avg home goals 1.683
League avg away goals 1.295
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.817
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.643
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.091
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.881
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51