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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

11:15

Venue

MAC³PARK Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PEC Zwolle Win

45%

PEC Zwolle

2.22

30%

Draw

3.36

25%

Twente

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

PEC Zwolle xG

Total xG

2.72

1.15

Twente xG

45%
30%
25%
PEC ZwolleDrawTwente

2.22

45%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

32%

PEC Zwolle

3.14

21%

Twente

4.84

Win to Nil

14%

PEC Zwolle

6.99

5%

Twente

19.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.5 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.4 11.9 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.4 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.3 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.576
λ Away (xG) 1.145
Total xG 2.721
League avg home goals 1.788
League avg away goals 1.241
PEC Zwolle attack strength 0.921
PEC Zwolle defence strength 0.918
Twente attack strength 1.005
Twente defence strength 0.957
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34