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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Feyenoord cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over PEC Zwolle.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Feyenoord beat PEC Zwolle 0-2 at MAC³PARK Stadion, Regular Season - 34, in the Eredivisie. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting PEC Zwolle 1.28 xG and Feyenoord 1.19 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. PEC Zwolle fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Feyenoord outscored their 1.19 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of PEC Zwolle attack 0.87 / defence 0.92 against Feyenoord attack 1.00 / defence 0.86, drawn from 67/67 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it PEC Zwolle 35% | Draw 35% | Feyenoord 30%, with PEC Zwolle to win its most likely call at 35%. The actual Feyenoord win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (PEC Zwolle 54%, Feyenoord 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

PEC Zwolle's trading profile (67 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Feyenoord's trading profile (67 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 1.94 PPG against 1.16. Form held, and they took the win. PEC Zwolle (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.18 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Feyenoord (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.24 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights