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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

17:45

Venue

Rat Verlegh Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NAC Breda Win

39%

NAC Breda

2.55

23%

Draw

4.26

37%

GO Ahead Eagles

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

NAC Breda xG

Total xG

3.18

1.57

GO Ahead Eagles xG

39%
23%
37%
NAC BredaDrawGO Ahead Eagles

2.55

39%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

21%

NAC Breda

4.81

20%

GO Ahead Eagles

5.02

Win to Nil

8%

NAC Breda

12.27

7%

GO Ahead Eagles

13.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.5 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 6.7 10.5 8.2 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.5 6.6 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 2.9 4.6 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.613
λ Away (xG) 1.570
Total xG 3.183
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.558
NAC Breda attack strength 0.860
NAC Breda defence strength 1.015
GO Ahead Eagles attack strength 0.992
GO Ahead Eagles defence strength 1.089
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44