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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

17:45

Venue

Rat Verlegh Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Feyenoord Win

26%

NAC Breda

3.92

22%

Draw

4.51

52%

Feyenoord

1.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

NAC Breda xG

Total xG

3.21

1.92

Feyenoord xG

26%
22%
52%
NAC BredaDrawFeyenoord

3.92

26%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

1.91

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

15%

NAC Breda

6.85

28%

Feyenoord

3.63

Win to Nil

4%

NAC Breda

26.81

14%

Feyenoord

6.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.7 7.5 4.8 2.3 0.9
1 5.2 10.0 9.6 6.2 3.0 1.1
2 3.3 6.4 6.2 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.4 2.8 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.288
λ Away (xG) 1.924
Total xG 3.212
League avg home goals 1.698
League avg away goals 1.357
NAC Breda attack strength 0.831
NAC Breda defence strength 1.156
Feyenoord attack strength 1.226
Feyenoord defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 55