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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

15:45

Venue

Rat Verlegh Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NAC Breda Win

40%

NAC Breda

2.52

26%

Draw

3.90

35%

AZ Alkmaar

2.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

NAC Breda xG

Total xG

3.11

1.49

AZ Alkmaar xG

40%
26%
35%
NAC BredaDrawAZ Alkmaar

2.52

40%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.89

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

22%

NAC Breda

4.45

20%

AZ Alkmaar

5.01

Win to Nil

9%

NAC Breda

11.21

7%

AZ Alkmaar

14.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.7 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.2 10.8 8.1 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.7 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 3.1 4.7 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 1.494
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.345
NAC Breda attack strength 0.938
NAC Breda defence strength 0.978
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 1.136
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 36