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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Rat Verlegh Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

25%

NAC Breda

4.02

31%

Draw

3.23

44%

Ajax

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

NAC Breda xG

Total xG

2.81

1.62

Ajax xG

25%
31%
44%
NAC BredaDrawAjax

4.02

25%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

20%

NAC Breda

5.05

30%

Ajax

3.29

Win to Nil

5%

NAC Breda

20.33

13%

Ajax

7.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.8 7.9 4.3 1.7 0.6
1 7.2 11.6 9.4 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.3 6.9 5.6 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.7 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.190
λ Away (xG) 1.620
Total xG 2.810
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.272
NAC Breda attack strength 0.798
NAC Breda defence strength 1.084
Ajax attack strength 1.174
Ajax defence strength 0.867
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64