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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

13:30

Venue

Asito Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heracles Win

39%

Heracles

2.56

30%

Draw

3.38

31%

NEC Nijmegen

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Heracles xG

Total xG

2.55

1.19

NEC Nijmegen xG

39%
30%
31%
HeraclesDrawNEC Nijmegen

2.56

39%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

30%

Heracles

3.29

26%

NEC Nijmegen

3.88

Win to Nil

12%

Heracles

8.42

8%

NEC Nijmegen

12.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 9.3 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.6 12.6 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 8.6 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.357
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 2.549
League avg home goals 1.601
League avg away goals 1.326
Heracles attack strength 1.081
Heracles defence strength 1.095
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 0.821
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.784
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67