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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

15:30

Venue

Asito Stadium

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heracles Win

40%

Heracles

2.49

24%

Draw

4.18

36%

NAC Breda

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Heracles xG

Total xG

3.07

1.49

NAC Breda xG

40%
24%
36%
HeraclesDrawNAC Breda

2.49

40%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

23%

Heracles

4.42

20%

NAC Breda

4.89

Win to Nil

9%

Heracles

11.00

7%

NAC Breda

13.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.9 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.3 10.9 8.1 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.7 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 3.1 4.6 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.587
λ Away (xG) 1.487
Total xG 3.074
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.443
Heracles attack strength 1.037
Heracles defence strength 1.275
NAC Breda attack strength 0.808
NAC Breda defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56