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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 1 Feb 2026

13:30

Venue

Asito Stadium

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Sittard Win

36%

Heracles

2.74

22%

Draw

4.61

42%

Fortuna Sittard

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Heracles xG

Total xG

3.67

1.90

Fortuna Sittard xG

36%
22%
42%
HeraclesDrawFortuna Sittard

2.74

36%

Home win

4.61

22%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.42

29%

BTTS No

3.39

Clean Sheet

15%

Heracles

6.69

17%

Fortuna Sittard

5.85

Win to Nil

5%

Heracles

18.34

7%

Fortuna Sittard

13.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 4.9 4.6 2.9 1.4 0.5
1 4.5 8.6 8.2 5.2 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.6 7.2 4.6 2.2 0.8
3 2.3 4.5 4.2 2.7 1.3 0.5
4 1.0 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.767
λ Away (xG) 1.901
Total xG 3.668
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.457
Heracles attack strength 1.032
Heracles defence strength 1.337
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.976
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.034
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54