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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
29%
3.44
23%
4.41
48%
2.07
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
0 – 1
7.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.39
Heracles xG
Total xG
3.24
1.85
AZ Alkmaar xG
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
3.44
29%
Home win
4.41
23%
Draw
2.07
48%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.58
37%
BTTS No
2.73
Clean Sheet
16%
6.34
25%
4.03
Win to Nil
5%
21.79
12%
8.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 10.1 | 9.3 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.393
λ Away (xG)
1.847
Total xG
3.240
League avg home goals
1.704
League avg away goals
1.361
Heracles attack strength
0.944
Heracles defence strength
1.263
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.075
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.866
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
38 / 37