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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

46%

Heerenveen

2.18

25%

Draw

4.03

29%

Telstar

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

3.25

1.43

Telstar xG

46%
25%
29%
HeerenveenDrawTelstar

2.18

46%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

24%

Heerenveen

4.16

16%

Telstar

6.17

Win to Nil

11%

Heerenveen

9.05

5%

Telstar

21.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.6 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.1 10.1 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.2 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 5.6 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.820
λ Away (xG) 1.425
Total xG 3.245
League avg home goals 1.637
League avg away goals 1.396
Heerenveen attack strength 1.088
Heerenveen defence strength 1.092
Telstar attack strength 0.935
Telstar defence strength 1.022
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 26