Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
PSV Eindhoven Win
25%
3.95
22%
4.57
53%
1.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
0 – 1
7.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
3.28
1.97
PSV Eindhoven xG
HeerenveenDrawPSV Eindhoven
3.95
25%
Home win
4.57
22%
Draw
1.89
53%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.69
Clean Sheet
14%
7.17
27%
3.70
Win to Nil
4%
28.35
14%
6.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.307
λ Away (xG)
1.970
Total xG
3.277
League avg home goals
1.676
League avg away goals
1.285
Heerenveen attack strength
0.928
Heerenveen defence strength
0.836
PSV Eindhoven attack strength
1.833
PSV Eindhoven defence strength
0.841
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49