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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
NEC Nijmegen Win
36%
2.76
23%
4.33
41%
2.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.6%
Away win
2 – 1
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.58
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
3.27
1.69
NEC Nijmegen xG
HeerenveenDrawNEC Nijmegen
2.76
36%
Home win
4.33
23%
Draw
2.46
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.54
35%
BTTS No
2.84
Clean Sheet
19%
5.39
21%
4.87
Win to Nil
7%
14.86
8%
11.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 10.2 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 8.0 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.583
λ Away (xG)
1.685
Total xG
3.268
League avg home goals
1.610
League avg away goals
1.407
Heerenveen attack strength
0.959
Heerenveen defence strength
0.994
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
1.205
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.025
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
39 / 39