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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

11:15

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

45%

Heerenveen

2.22

24%

Draw

4.16

31%

Groningen

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

2.99

1.33

Groningen xG

45%
24%
31%
HeerenveenDrawGroningen

2.22

45%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

26%

Heerenveen

3.80

19%

Groningen

5.22

Win to Nil

12%

Heerenveen

8.44

6%

Groningen

16.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.7 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.3 11.1 7.4 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.2 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.653
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 2.987
League avg home goals 1.706
League avg away goals 1.436
Heerenveen attack strength 1.072
Heerenveen defence strength 1.066
Groningen attack strength 0.872
Groningen defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52