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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

49%

Heerenveen

2.03

25%

Draw

4.01

26%

Fortuna Sittard

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

2.77

1.12

Fortuna Sittard xG

49%
25%
26%
HeerenveenDrawFortuna Sittard

2.03

49%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

32%

Heerenveen

3.08

19%

Fortuna Sittard

5.17

Win to Nil

16%

Heerenveen

6.26

5%

Fortuna Sittard

19.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.1 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.3 11.6 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.5 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.642
λ Away (xG) 1.125
Total xG 2.767
League avg home goals 1.665
League avg away goals 1.341
Heerenveen attack strength 0.839
Heerenveen defence strength 0.796
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 1.054
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.175
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54