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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
35%
2.88
30%
3.31
35%
2.85
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.4%
Away win
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.56
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
3.13
1.57
Ajax xG
HeerenveenDrawAjax
2.88
35%
Home win
3.31
30%
Draw
2.85
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.52
34%
BTTS No
2.92
Clean Sheet
21%
4.79
21%
4.75
Win to Nil
7%
13.79
7%
13.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 10.7 | 8.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.559
λ Away (xG)
1.567
Total xG
3.126
League avg home goals
1.714
League avg away goals
1.289
Heerenveen attack strength
1.127
Heerenveen defence strength
1.021
Ajax attack strength
1.190
Ajax defence strength
0.807
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67