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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

13:30

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Heerenveen Win

39%

Heerenveen

2.56

27%

Draw

3.67

34%

Ajax

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

2.45

1.17

Ajax xG

39%
27%
34%
HeerenveenDrawAjax

2.56

39%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

31%

Heerenveen

3.22

28%

Ajax

3.61

Win to Nil

12%

Heerenveen

8.24

9%

Ajax

10.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.1 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.0 12.9 7.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.3 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.284
λ Away (xG) 1.170
Total xG 2.454
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.305
Heerenveen attack strength 0.915
Heerenveen defence strength 0.731
Ajax attack strength 1.226
Ajax defence strength 0.827
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52