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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

13:30

Venue

Euroborg

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Groningen Win

39%

Groningen

2.56

29%

Draw

3.40

32%

Fortuna Sittard

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Groningen xG

Total xG

2.26

1.05

Fortuna Sittard xG

39%
29%
32%
GroningenDrawFortuna Sittard

2.56

39%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

35%

Groningen

2.87

30%

Fortuna Sittard

3.33

Win to Nil

14%

Groningen

7.34

9%

Fortuna Sittard

10.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 11.0 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.6 13.3 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 7.6 8.0 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.204
λ Away (xG) 1.053
Total xG 2.257
League avg home goals 1.595
League avg away goals 1.266
Groningen attack strength 0.707
Groningen defence strength 0.793
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 1.049
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 59