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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 14 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Euroborg

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Groningen Win

41%

Groningen

2.41

28%

Draw

3.58

31%

Ajax

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Groningen xG

Total xG

2.71

1.24

Ajax xG

41%
28%
31%
GroningenDrawAjax

2.41

41%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

29%

Groningen

3.46

23%

Ajax

4.37

Win to Nil

12%

Groningen

8.34

7%

Ajax

14.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.1 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.2 8.9 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.475
λ Away (xG) 1.240
Total xG 2.715
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.342
Groningen attack strength 1.149
Groningen defence strength 0.884
Ajax attack strength 1.046
Ajax defence strength 0.801
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66