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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

37%

Fortuna Sittard

2.69

24%

Draw

4.08

38%

Utrecht

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

2.96

1.49

Utrecht xG

37%
24%
38%
Fortuna SittardDrawUtrecht

2.69

37%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

22%

Fortuna Sittard

4.45

23%

Utrecht

4.33

Win to Nil

8%

Fortuna Sittard

11.97

9%

Utrecht

11.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.7 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.6 11.4 8.5 4.2 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.3 6.2 3.1 1.2 0.3
3 2.7 4.1 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.466
λ Away (xG) 1.493
Total xG 2.959
League avg home goals 1.638
League avg away goals 1.416
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 1.027
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.030
Utrecht attack strength 1.023
Utrecht defence strength 0.871
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39