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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

18%

Fortuna Sittard

5.60

19%

Draw

5.32

63%

PSV Eindhoven

1.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

0 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

3.52

2.35

PSV Eindhoven xG

18%
19%
63%
Fortuna SittardDrawPSV Eindhoven

5.60

18%

Home win

5.32

19%

Draw

1.58

63%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

10%

Fortuna Sittard

10.43

31%

PSV Eindhoven

3.25

Win to Nil

2%

Fortuna Sittard

58.45

20%

PSV Eindhoven

5.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 6.9 8.1 6.3 3.7 1.7
1 3.5 8.2 9.6 7.5 4.4 2.1
2 2.0 4.8 5.6 4.4 2.6 1.2
3 0.8 1.9 2.2 1.7 1.0 0.5
4 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.178
λ Away (xG) 2.345
Total xG 3.523
League avg home goals 1.678
League avg away goals 1.402
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.995
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.080
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.549
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.705
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52