Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

17:45

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Sittard Win

38%

Fortuna Sittard

2.61

30%

Draw

3.36

32%

NAC Breda

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

2.46

1.17

NAC Breda xG

38%
30%
32%
Fortuna SittardDrawNAC Breda

2.61

38%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

31%

Fortuna Sittard

3.21

27%

NAC Breda

3.66

Win to Nil

12%

Fortuna Sittard

8.37

9%

NAC Breda

11.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.9 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 11.1 12.9 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 8.4 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.298
λ Away (xG) 1.165
Total xG 2.463
League avg home goals 1.621
League avg away goals 1.333
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.667
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.142
NAC Breda attack strength 0.765
NAC Breda defence strength 1.200
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 31