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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 10 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Sittard Win

45%

Fortuna Sittard

2.22

23%

Draw

4.26

32%

GO Ahead Eagles

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

3.12

1.40

GO Ahead Eagles xG

45%
23%
32%
Fortuna SittardDrawGO Ahead Eagles

2.22

45%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

25%

Fortuna Sittard

4.07

18%

GO Ahead Eagles

5.57

Win to Nil

11%

Fortuna Sittard

9.05

6%

GO Ahead Eagles

17.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.2 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.6 10.6 7.5 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.1 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.7 5.2 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.718
λ Away (xG) 1.404
Total xG 3.122
League avg home goals 1.730
League avg away goals 1.282
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.935
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.017
GO Ahead Eagles attack strength 1.077
GO Ahead Eagles defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51