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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Feyenoord cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over NAC Breda.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Feyenoord beat NAC Breda 2-0 at De Kuip, Regular Season - 1, in the Eredivisie. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Feyenoord 2.10 xG and NAC Breda 1.03 xG, a combined 3.13. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. NAC Breda landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Feyenoord attack 1.14 / defence 0.94 against NAC Breda attack 0.86 / defence 1.04, drawn from 34/34 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Feyenoord 60% | Draw 23% | NAC Breda 16%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 60%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Feyenoord 59%, NAC Breda 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Feyenoord's trading profile (34 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

NAC Breda's trading profile (34 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 2.00 PPG against 0.97. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Feyenoord (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.06 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights