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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Feyenoord cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Groningen.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Feyenoord beat Groningen 3-1 at De Kuip, Regular Season - 31, in the Eredivisie. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Feyenoord 1.69 xG and Groningen 1.36 xG, a combined 3.05. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Feyenoord beat their projection by 1.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Feyenoord attack 1.13 / defence 1.06 against Groningen attack 1.00 / defence 0.87, drawn from 64/64 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Feyenoord 42% | Draw 30% | Groningen 28%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 42%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 36% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Feyenoord 59%, Groningen 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Feyenoord's trading profile (64 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Groningen's trading profile (64 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 1.27. That form edge translated into the three points. Groningen (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.94 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights