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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Woudestein

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sparta Rotterdam Win

36%

Excelsior

2.76

25%

Draw

4.07

39%

Sparta Rotterdam

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.94

1.50

Sparta Rotterdam xG

36%
25%
39%
ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam

2.76

36%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

22%

Excelsior

4.49

24%

Sparta Rotterdam

4.19

Win to Nil

8%

Excelsior

12.42

9%

Sparta Rotterdam

10.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 8.0 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 7.6 11.4 8.6 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.2 6.2 3.1 1.2 0.3
3 2.6 3.9 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.433
λ Away (xG) 1.502
Total xG 2.935
League avg home goals 1.730
League avg away goals 1.370
Excelsior attack strength 0.811
Excelsior defence strength 0.983
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 1.116
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 1.022
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 38