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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion Woudestein

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

19%

Excelsior

5.18

22%

Draw

4.62

59%

PSV Eindhoven

1.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.98

1.95

PSV Eindhoven xG

19%
22%
59%
ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven

5.18

19%

Home win

4.62

22%

Draw

1.69

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

14%

Excelsior

7.06

36%

PSV Eindhoven

2.78

Win to Nil

3%

Excelsior

36.55

21%

PSV Eindhoven

4.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 10.0 9.7 6.3 3.1 1.2
1 5.2 10.2 9.9 6.5 3.2 1.2
2 2.7 5.2 5.1 3.3 1.6 0.6
3 0.9 1.8 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2
4 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.023
λ Away (xG) 1.954
Total xG 2.977
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.444
Excelsior attack strength 0.671
Excelsior defence strength 0.899
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.505
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 40