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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Excelsior Win
42%
2.40
24%
4.15
34%
2.91
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
Excelsior xG
Total xG
3.03
1.43
PEC Zwolle xG
ExcelsiorDrawPEC Zwolle
2.40
42%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
2.91
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
24%
4.18
20%
4.93
Win to Nil
10%
10.04
7%
14.38
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 6.9 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.8 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.596
λ Away (xG)
1.430
Total xG
3.026
League avg home goals
1.691
League avg away goals
1.415
Excelsior attack strength
0.592
Excelsior defence strength
0.973
PEC Zwolle attack strength
1.039
PEC Zwolle defence strength
1.595
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
15 / 50