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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

13:30

Venue

Stadion Woudestein

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Sittard Win

35%

Excelsior

2.83

27%

Draw

3.76

38%

Fortuna Sittard

2.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.57

1.31

Fortuna Sittard xG

35%
27%
38%
ExcelsiorDrawFortuna Sittard

2.83

35%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.63

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

27%

Excelsior

3.71

28%

Fortuna Sittard

3.51

Win to Nil

10%

Excelsior

10.49

11%

Fortuna Sittard

9.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 10.1 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 9.6 12.6 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.256
λ Away (xG) 1.312
Total xG 2.568
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.491
Excelsior attack strength 0.685
Excelsior defence strength 0.920
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.956
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.078
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 42