🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
25%
4.06
22%
4.64
54%
1.86
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.5%
Draw
0 – 1
7.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.30
Excelsior xG
Total xG
3.32
2.01
Ajax xG
ExcelsiorDrawAjax
4.06
25%
Home win
4.64
22%
Draw
1.86
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.58
37%
BTTS No
2.71
Clean Sheet
13%
7.48
27%
3.69
Win to Nil
3%
30.36
15%
6.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 4.7 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.305
λ Away (xG)
2.012
Total xG
3.317
League avg home goals
1.649
League avg away goals
1.457
Excelsior attack strength
0.742
Excelsior defence strength
1.050
Ajax attack strength
1.315
Ajax defence strength
1.066
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
20 / 54