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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
42%
2.39
31%
3.22
27%
3.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.3%
Home win
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.42
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
2.54
1.11
Twente xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawTwente
2.39
42%
Home win
3.22
31%
Draw
3.68
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.88
47%
BTTS No
2.14
Clean Sheet
33%
3.04
24%
4.15
Win to Nil
14%
7.28
7%
15.27
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 12.5 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.423
λ Away (xG)
1.113
Total xG
2.536
League avg home goals
1.617
League avg away goals
1.304
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.903
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.863
Twente attack strength
0.989
Twente defence strength
0.974
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68