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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
51%
1.97
22%
4.61
27%
3.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
1 – 2
6.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.00
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.42
1.42
Twente xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawTwente
1.97
51%
Home win
4.61
22%
Draw
3.65
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.53
34%
BTTS No
2.90
Clean Sheet
24%
4.15
14%
7.35
Win to Nil
12%
8.15
4%
26.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.995
λ Away (xG)
1.422
Total xG
3.417
League avg home goals
1.715
League avg away goals
1.282
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.105
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.949
Twente attack strength
1.169
Twente defence strength
1.052
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50